Polar Vortex Prediction 2024. On december 5, 2023, climate.gov published the first post in a new blog about the polar vortex. Strong stratospheric winds mean a strong polar vortex and weak winds can indicate a disrupted polar vortex.
Learn how noaa tracks the size and evolution of the polar vortex, the ozone hole, and the cold air where polar stratospheric clouds (pscs) form. The majority of the forecast models say yes, the winds at 60 degrees north* (the mean location of the polar vortex) will briefly reverse direction within the next week or so, commencing the second major sudden.